Inequality

Labor Share of National Income

Compensation of employees as percentage of gross domestic income

Labor Share
Key events
Common Claim

Workers' share of the economic pie fell after 1971 as capital owners benefited from monetary expansion.

What the Data Shows

Labor's share was relatively stable at ~64% from 1947 through 2000, then fell sharply to ~57% after 2000. The timing points to the 'China shock,' automation, and corporate concentration — not the 1971 gold standard change.

Perspectives

skeptic

Labor share was stable for 30 years after 1971

This chart strongly contradicts the 1971 thesis. Labor share was remarkably stable from 1947 to 2000 — spanning both the gold standard and fiat eras. The sharp decline after 2000 points to globalization and technology, not monetary policy.

neutral

Globalization, technology, and market power reshaped income distribution

This is one of the most important economic trends of the 21st century, but its timing exonerates monetary policy. The causes are structural: industries that can offshore or automate have seen their labor shares fall, while 'superstar firms' with high profits and few workers have pulled the aggregate down.

believer

Fiat money enabled the capital accumulation that displaced labor

While the decline accelerated after 2000, the conditions were set by decades of fiat-money-enabled capital accumulation. Cheap credit funded the tech investments and corporate acquisitions that ultimately displaced workers. The gold standard would have constrained the capital accumulation that enabled this shift.

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Causal Factors

Globalization (especially post-2001)

30%

China's WTO accession in 2001 accelerated offshoring of manufacturing. The labor share decline maps almost perfectly to the China shock timeline.

Elsby, Hobijn & Sahin (2013)

Automation & AI

25%

Capital-intensive production (robots, software, AI) substitutes for labor, allowing output to grow without proportional wage increases.

Acemoglu & Restrepo (2020)

Corporate market concentration

20%

Industry consolidation created 'superstar firms' (tech, pharma) with high profits and relatively few employees, pulling the average labor share down.

Autor et al. (2020)

Declining worker bargaining power

15%

Weaker unions, right-to-work laws, and labor market deregulation reduced workers' ability to claim a share of productivity gains.

Economic Policy Institute

Rising depreciation costs

10%

As the economy shifted to capital-intensive tech, depreciation of equipment and IP grew, mechanically reducing the measured labor share.

Karabarbounis & Neiman (2014)

Data Source

Federal Reserve (FRED), Bureau of Labor Statistics

View original data

Last updated: 2024-06

Key Events

1971

Nixon Shock

Gold standard ends — but labor share was stable for 30 more years

2001

China joins WTO

Globalization accelerates, labor share begins steep decline

2008

Financial crisis

Corporate profits recover faster than wages after the recession

2020

COVID

Brief spike as government transfers boosted labor income