Wages & Income

Real Median Household Income

Median household income in 2023 dollars

Median Household Income
Key events
Common Claim

Middle class incomes stagnated after 1971 when the dollar lost its gold backing.

What the Data Shows

Real median household income roughly doubled from 1950 to 2000, but growth slowed significantly after 2000. The stagnation correlates more with globalization, the China shock, and the 2001/2008 recessions than with the 1971 gold standard change. Income reached a new high of $80,610 in 2023.

Perspectives

skeptic

Income growth continued well after 1971

If the gold standard change caused income stagnation, why did incomes grow robustly for 30 more years? The real slowdown came after 2000, driven by the China shock, two recessions, and structural shifts in the labor market. Also, total compensation including benefits has grown more than wages alone.

neutral

Growth slowed but didn't stop

The data shows genuine slowdown in median income growth, but the timing doesn't cleanly match 1971. The 1970s saw solid income growth despite high inflation. The real deceleration came in the 2000s. Multiple factors converged to reduce the middle class's share of economic gains.

believer

Fiat money eroded real purchasing power

The pre-1971 era saw rapid real income growth because the gold standard kept prices stable. After 1971, inflation ate into nominal wage gains, and the government's CPI measurements understate true inflation by changing the basket of goods over time.

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Causal Factors

Globalization & trade competition

25%

Competition from lower-wage countries displaced middle-income manufacturing jobs, suppressing wage growth for non-college workers.

Autor, Dorn & Hanson (2013)

Technological change & skill premium

25%

Technology increased demand for high-skill workers while automating middle-skill jobs, widening the income gap between education levels.

Acemoglu & Autor (2011)

Declining union membership

20%

Union membership fell from 35% in the 1950s to 10% by 2023, reducing collective bargaining power and wage growth for median workers.

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Rising benefits costs absorbing compensation

15%

Employer spending on healthcare benefits grew dramatically, absorbing compensation gains that would otherwise have appeared as wages.

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Household composition changes

15%

Rising single-person households and demographic shifts changed the 'typical household,' making comparisons over time less straightforward.

U.S. Census Bureau

Data Source

U.S. Census Bureau, FRED (MEHOINUSA672N)

View original data

Last updated: 2024-09

Key Events

1971

Nixon Shock

Dollar decoupled from gold; income growth continued through the 1970s

1981

Reagan era begins

Tax cuts and deregulation reshape income distribution

2000

Dot-com peak

Median income reaches then-record before two recessions erode gains

2008

Great Recession

Financial crisis causes steepest income decline since the Depression

2023

New record

Median income reaches all-time high of $80,610 in 2023 dollars